Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $631.79
- Potential payout
- $20.71K
- Potential profit
- $20.08K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $196.79
Polymarket Trader
0xefC5604b839e7Bf8D7B4047044E45f885E64247C-1758274949612
0xefc5604b839e7bf8d7b4047044e45f885e64247c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.22K
- Realized PnL
- $2.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $764.69
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- $514.69
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $512.83
- Potential payout
- $4.86K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $262.83
No position
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$437
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $312.07
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $32.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $112.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.02
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527.73
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.11
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.17
Rybakina position
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.87
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.84
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.76
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
French election called by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.37
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.63
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.08
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.21
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.01
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.99
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.73
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.72
No position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.15
No position
French election called by October 17?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63
No position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.39
No position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.92
No position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 20,714.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 98.9% 1,080 shares
- UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?No 32.7% 1,336 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 1,800 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 17% 2,646.85 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 50% 1,004.48 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 55% 981.82 shares
- Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. CzechiaCzechia 13.7% 1,454.8 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.6% 9,440.61 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.1% 4,860.91 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 55.7% 1,004.48 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes 26.1% 766.28 shares