No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $49.57
- Potential payout
- $50.61
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Polymarket Trader
Mirthwood
0xefd15076aa86f1d42b7734b25159d001c58f1475
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.57
- Realized PnL
- $13.25
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 98.8% 50.61 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 62.65 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.5% 52.08 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96% 52.08 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.6% 18.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 18.75 shares
- Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No 98.7% 18.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.9% 18.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.3% 18.69 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 19.37 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 19.37 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 84% 22.22 shares