Polymarket Trader

drfhd

0xefd51672205507cbddec96a7aea3e0a1f31f1645

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.12K
Realized PnL: $3.64K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.62K

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $549.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $150.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $350
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $222.75
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $107.25
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177

No position

Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$420.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$854.84

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 71% 350 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 71% 350 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Yes 68% 330 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19.9% 5,097 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Yes 14% 20.01 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 17% 609.88 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 86% 176 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 85.9% 24.99 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Yes 54% 2,998 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on January 23?

Up 69% 2,200 shares
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?

No 99.9% 107.11 shares