Polymarket Trader

0xEFD99258Ef67c828B7767370A03e2342709714D6-1779536238530

0xefd99258ef67c828b7767370a03e2342709714d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $14.18K
Potential profit: $14.13K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$50.36

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.77K
Potential profit: $13.77K
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.34K
Potential profit: $12.34K
User PnL: -$149.98

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.61K
Potential profit: $9.61K
User PnL: -$59.99

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $175.41
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$24.59

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $713.71
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $113.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $48.12
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$51.88

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $20.03
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$44.97

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $32.54
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$257.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.35
Potential profit: $769.35
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $725.98
Potential profit: $725.98
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $723.39
Potential profit: $723.39
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718.12
Potential profit: $718.12
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.47
Potential profit: $700.47
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.3

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Down 10% 9.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Down 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Up 36% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Up 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Down 34% 58.82 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 9% 55.56 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6% 3,125 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

No 35.9% 139.21 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Down 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Down 9.6% 207.78 shares