Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219
- Potential profit
- $219
- User PnL
- -$109.4
Polymarket Trader
danqian
0xefdc6fe9d8e4ea3842171cbe164894b5f0be3d3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.8
- Realized PnL
- $4.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207
- Potential profit
- $207
- User PnL
- -$101.43
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $62.06
- Potential payout
- $62.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36.04
- Potential payout
- $36.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.09
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $1.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Packers position
Packers vs. Seahawks
Ends Dec 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will US annual inflation be 2.6% or less in December?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No 99.9% 62.06 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No 99.9% 36.04 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 20.14 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.8% 1.99 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.8% 5.61 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 120.12 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No 99.9% 1.8 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.9% 122.12 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.7% 3.01 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 3.01 shares