Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $13.54
- Potential payout
- $200.57
- Potential profit
- $187.03
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Polymarket Trader
0xeFdD27E62B43640b866A0c2503Afe65687bAa7F9-1755874835308
0xefdd27e62b43640b866a0c2503afe65687baa7f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.14
- Realized PnL
- $95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $19.13
- Potential payout
- $154.9
- Potential profit
- $135.77
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $17.84
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $23.17
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$5.51
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $27.54
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$21.69
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.86
- Potential profit
- $20.86
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.06
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $18.7
- Potential profit
- $15.01
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$12.02
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $15.6
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.68
- Potential profit
- $11.68
- User PnL
- -$6.89
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.5% 152.29 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.4% 150 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 0.5 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99.2% 1 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 65 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 90% 5 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.6% 150.77 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 79 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 29 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.5% 161 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 7.46 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 6.52 shares