OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $442.12
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $56.19
Polymarket Trader
vino1234
0xefddc1d3285d0fe1b9f2aa06e04901f527a08370
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.79K
- Realized PnL
- $13.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $670.44
- Potential payout
- $802.92
- Potential profit
- $132.48
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $101.33
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $271.79
- Potential payout
- $788.01
- Potential profit
- $516.23
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$27.49
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $687.08
- Potential payout
- $772
- Potential profit
- $84.92
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $127.18
Yes position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $150.29
- Potential payout
- $527.54
- Potential profit
- $377.24
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $398.54
- Potential payout
- $477.29
- Potential profit
- $78.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $107.74
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $169.38
- Potential payout
- $389.37
- Potential profit
- $219.99
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $15.8
Yes position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $81.9
- Potential payout
- $363.99
- Potential profit
- $282.09
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $262.55
- Potential payout
- $283.84
- Potential profit
- $21.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $27.61
N
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $197.37
- Potential payout
- $254.68
- Potential profit
- $57.3
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $22.49
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $219.52
- Potential payout
- $242.57
- Potential profit
- $23.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $59.74
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $160.8
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $79.2
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $164.33
- Potential payout
- $238.19
- Potential profit
- $73.86
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $22.12
Yes position
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $61.73
- Potential payout
- $199.13
- Potential profit
- $137.4
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $15.82
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $184.27
- Potential payout
- $191.85
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $169.32
- Potential payout
- $179.18
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.54
Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $17.07
- Potential payout
- $170.7
- Potential profit
- $153.63
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.15
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $106.07
- Potential payout
- $121.22
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.37
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $29.64
- Potential payout
- $109.76
- Potential profit
- $80.12
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$14.48
No position
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $87.69
- Potential payout
- $109.61
- Potential profit
- $21.92
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$10.21
No position
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $81.58
- Potential payout
- $87.73
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $83.05
- Potential payout
- $85.98
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $30.13
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $16.76
- Potential payout
- $85.95
- Potential profit
- $69.19
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $77.76
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54K
No position
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.19
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $715.93
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $482.69
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.29
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $451.68
Yes position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.98
No position
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 20+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.6
No position
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.11
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.01
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.18
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.43
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $293.96
No position
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.13
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.95
Yes position
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.44
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.26
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.11
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.54
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 78.9% 121.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 87% 83.84 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 65% 25 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 69% 74.82 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 69% 93 shares
- Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?Yes 16.9% 102.96 shares
- Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?No 19.4% 189 shares
- Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?Yes 14% 12.16 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 73% 260 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 64% 50 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 84% 150 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 233 shares