Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.81K
- Potential profit
- $19.81K
- User PnL
- -$144.85
Polymarket Trader
TUNGTUNGTUNGTUNGTUNGTUNGSAHUR
0xefdea8525a2c4bf8c96dc137322c1fbe81e265ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $132.64
- Realized PnL
- $5.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $11.05K
- Potential profit
- $11.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.27
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- User PnL
- -$101.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- User PnL
- -$126.02
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- User PnL
- -$144.18
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$117.46
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$136.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$12.87
Yes position
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$15.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$47.3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7.17
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $104.8
- Potential payout
- $923.33
- Potential profit
- $818.53
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $24.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $851.98
- Potential profit
- $851.98
- User PnL
- -$49.63
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.42
- Potential profit
- $799.42
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $680.01
- Potential profit
- $680.01
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.13
- Potential profit
- $677.13
- User PnL
- -$35.38
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $602.07
- Potential profit
- $602.07
- User PnL
- -$8.78
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $589.8
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$22.2
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $595.87
- Potential profit
- $595.87
- User PnL
- -$10.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.26
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.5
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $418.44
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.18
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $180.71
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.18
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.29
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.93
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.56
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.5
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.69
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $95.15
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.6
Eternal Fire position
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Suns
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.66
No position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.47
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.43
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.12
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes 0.2% 2,659.77 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Yes 0.1% 321.04 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes 1% 388.8 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 5.1% 181.15 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes 1.5% 333.33 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: JuneNothing 92% 149.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.7% 100 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 21% 45 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 51% 40 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)Kyle Daukaus 25% 20 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 21% 23.81 shares