Polymarket Trader

vvvvvca

0xefe5d4ce26f00fb4b2154cf6139979509d506f6b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.66K
Realized PnL: $122.95K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$11.7K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $15.82K
Potential payout: $15.87K
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: $87.83

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.43K
Potential profit: $12.43K
User PnL: -$497.35

JD Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.44K
Potential profit: $11.44K
User PnL: -$7.76K

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$6.4K

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $6.8K
User PnL: -$237.85

Yes position

Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$34.37

Yes position

Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$142.51

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$197.56

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$202.8

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$398.75

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$195.48

Yes position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $555.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $544.5
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$269.5

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$229.43

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $897.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$195.75

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$198

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$195.85

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $560.5
Potential profit: $559.66
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$117.42

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $560
User PnL: -$194.96

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$202.8

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.62
Potential profit: $464.62
User PnL: -$195.39

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $288
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $112
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $104

Yes position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $394
Potential profit: $394
User PnL: -$200.27

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$199.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.96K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.7K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28K

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.32K

JD Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.6K

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.43

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.5

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.8

Yes position

Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.96

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.07

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.3

Yes position

GPT-5.4 released by March 9?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$180.09

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.51K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?

No 99.3% 8,709.37 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?

No 98.9% 6,771.84 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?

No 97.9% 347.9 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Anyones Legend 4% 15,864.08 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 21.1% 560.5 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Gen.G 64% 120.38 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Spirit 69% 12,450.08 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Spirit 69% 13,095.69 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Spirit 69% 5,605.14 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Spirit 69% 40,849.09 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants 39% 30,000 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

JD Gaming 67.6% 5,000 shares