Polymarket Trader

0xEfe72c50171FcF0eB516a301E62cFE8e4631A709-1761344048643

0xefe72c50171fcf0eb516a301e62cfe8e4631a709

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $295.88
Realized PnL: -$479.84
Win rate: 12.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.05K
Potential profit: $6.05K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $136.59
Potential payout: $136.65
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $106.58

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.31
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$5.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.34
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $41.72
Potential payout: $41.88
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $21.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.42
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$19.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $11.46
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $30.21
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $9.28
Potential payout: $28.56
Potential profit: $19.28
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $6.08
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $20.24
Multiplier: 4.33x
User PnL: -$3.92

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.89
Potential profit: $24.89
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$2.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $21.75
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $13.37
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $11.6
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.8
Potential profit: $20.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $11.27
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.81
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $17.81
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $7.81

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $16.21
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

No position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.64

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.8%
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: -$5.29

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$194.71

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$286.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?

No 8.2% 187.5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?

No 12% 250 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?

No 68% 14.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 30?

No 99% 45.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?

No 24% 41.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?

No 63% 21.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?

No 38% 2.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?

No 45% 2.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?

Yes 3.3% 0.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?

No 42% 11.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?

No 48.1% 20.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 30?

No 38% 26.32 shares