Polymarket Trader

0xefea...5007

0xefea83539ba0bcdfdc47cd539dcf97a6fb495007

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $13.19
Realized PnL: $1.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $4.31
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $3.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.2% 5.09 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Yes 76.8% 3.91 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 92.8% 3.23 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.8% 2.07 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 87% 1.19 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

No 93.9% 13.35 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.3% 2.08 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 23.2% 4.31 shares
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Yes 75% 2.67 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 94.1% 1.06 shares