Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.7
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Polymarket Trader
0xEFfa19C8DD7f9D42390D251bcC0E8521d46DCa05-1777270805960
0xeffa19c8dd7f9d42390d251bcc0e8521d46dca05
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.75
- Realized PnL
- $149.16
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.25
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$17.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Current value
- $74.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.3
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $23.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 51% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14?No 99.9% 29.03 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 99.8% 31.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?No 98.8% 10.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 44% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 18.1% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 59.9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 34.5% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.2% 35.28 shares