SubashChandraBose

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $27.76
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $70.6

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 74.3%
Current value: $499.37
Potential payout: $672.55
Potential profit: $173.18
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $49.3

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $584.17
Potential payout: $606.62
Potential profit: $22.44
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $31.15

No position

Next Token Sale on Coinbase by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $263.44
Potential payout: $277.31
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $33.2

Yes position

Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?

Implied probability: 17.8%
Current value: $48.46
Potential payout: $272.26
Potential profit: $223.8
Multiplier: 5.62x
User PnL: $41.53

Yes position

Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $104.92
Potential payout: $233.16
Potential profit: $128.24
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $21.92

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $76.48
Potential payout: $152.96
Potential profit: $76.48
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $13.54

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $144.95
Potential payout: $150.99
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.44

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $70.71
Potential payout: $140.01
Potential profit: $69.3
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$44.8

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $55.3
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $84.69
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $20.8
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $109.2
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $115.76
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $11.24
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $21.6
Potential payout: $113.67
Potential profit: $92.07
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$21.31

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $59.52
Potential payout: $89.51
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $36.55

No position

Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $44.8
Potential payout: $85.34
Potential profit: $40.54
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $71.19
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$12

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $43.64
Potential payout: $61.47
Potential profit: $17.83
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $7.22

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.63
Potential profit: $60.63
User PnL: -$12.73

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $58.95
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $59.98
User PnL: -$3.24

No position

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $51.39
Potential payout: $54.29
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.23

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.39

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.7

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.14

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.98

No position

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.47

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.75

Yes position

Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.88

No position

Ansem mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.03

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $36.47

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.8

No position

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.24

No position

Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $25.61

No position

Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.62

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $23.84

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.11

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.74

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.96

No position

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will anyone say "Jerry" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

No position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?