No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $108.28K
- Potential payout
- $132.71K
- Potential profit
- $24.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Polymarket Trader
topdaddy1
0xf02008dd334fe83c8dad61dd9a54776d7fb03212
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.53K
- Realized PnL
- $116.46K
- Win rate
- 11.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.69K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $164.66
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $145.86K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-21.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-24.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.63K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.25K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 232,310.63 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79% 45.95 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.6% 9,715.76 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.8% 1,997.61 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.4% 596.96 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-21.5)Knicks 89% 5,749.39 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.5% 1,184.17 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-24.5)Knicks 94% 5,000 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks 90% 817.31 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 80.7% 20 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.9% 22,149.85 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 98% 20,000 shares