Polymarket Trader

MollyParkets

@neccessito

0xf02105d60083d7d74d7e0f9785d79e06137cdf56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.59K
Realized PnL: $20.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.26K
Potential profit: $10.26K
User PnL: -$51.42

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.84K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $145
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.86K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $452
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.55K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $795
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.21K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$219

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68K
Potential profit: $5.68K
User PnL: -$95.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$155.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$164.83

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $3.31K
User PnL: -$59.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$67.6

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$16.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$487.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$216.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$195.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$189.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$344.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$198.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$22.24

Under position

Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$222.32

Over position

UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$42

No position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$226.54

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $168
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$782.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$371.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $851.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $716.58

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.75

Under position

Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $574.78

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $529.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.84

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $518.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.79

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Over position

Pau FC vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.1

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 81.7% 100 shares
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?

Yes 28% 976 shares
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway?

Yes 28% 388.06 shares
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?

Yes 1% 390.65 shares
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?

Yes 19% 159 shares
Norway leading at halftime?

Yes 56.8% 444 shares
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?

Yes 18% 787.38 shares
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?

Yes 13% 14.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 85% 100 shares
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Over 64% 11.22 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 10,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 10,000 shares