Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $123.86
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$226.86
Polymarket Trader
Teenageonlinegambler
0xf023a17239297b69a56ec045df3c07147c451a14
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.61
- Realized PnL
- $42.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$25.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.67
- Potential profit
- $29.67
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.97
- Potential profit
- $14.97
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.46
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.51
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.15
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 15.31 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14.9% 40 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 28% 24.59 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15.9% 37 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15.9% 7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8AM ETUp 37% 2.7 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp 36.9% 2.64 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 41.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?Down 64% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?Down 50% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ETDown 1% 100 shares