No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $784.59
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $290.19
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $89.11
Polymarket Trader
Gorgeous-
0xf027918f9a368fb6169d7caf5fa6e899f14b3f04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.54K
- Realized PnL
- $20.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $573.71
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $460
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$127.26
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $825
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $501.75
- Potential payout
- $895.99
- Potential profit
- $394.23
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$116.05
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $445.96
- Potential payout
- $833.57
- Potential profit
- $387.61
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$60.56
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Current value
- $609.43
- Potential payout
- $782.32
- Potential profit
- $172.89
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $107.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $396.67
- Potential payout
- $397.26
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $64.83
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $273.1
- Potential payout
- $390.14
- Potential profit
- $117.04
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$53.49
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Current value
- $149.42
- Potential payout
- $223.85
- Potential profit
- $74.43
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $190.97
- Potential payout
- $214.57
- Potential profit
- $23.6
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.46
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $86.8
- Potential payout
- $204.24
- Potential profit
- $117.44
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$11.23
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $119.52
- Potential payout
- $177.07
- Potential profit
- $57.55
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $8.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $48.95
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $61.05
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$19.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $34.58
- Potential payout
- $101.71
- Potential profit
- $67.13
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$24.41
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $52.07
- Potential payout
- $70.85
- Potential profit
- $18.78
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $5.31
No position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $52.29
- Potential payout
- $55.33
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $8.66
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $875.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $841.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.65
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.19
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $706.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.57
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $645.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.41
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.25
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $600.79
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.79
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.85
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.63
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.52
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 400 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes 21.9% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.6% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 58% 101.7 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 74% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 74% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 69% 8 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 50.9% 46 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 50.5% 5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 50% 30 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 49.1% 105 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 48.6% 5 shares