Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $75.44
- Potential profit
- $65.26
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.05
Polymarket Trader
wannadegen
0xf03b7f9dfd167d48a8aa20d8685099ccf693e1ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.55
- Realized PnL
- -$9.93
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $19.53
- Potential profit
- $14.16
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 38% 19.53 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?Down 99.9% 7.43 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?Down 90% 7.41 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 28% 24 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 25% 25.4 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 18% 35.27 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 18% 35.28 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30% 20 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 5.51 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 81% 5.51 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 67% 11.02 shares