No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $1.77
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
michelobama
0xf05553b56c43c03042a52390691db40957a8e251
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.74
- Realized PnL
- $6.1
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Packers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Raptors position
Bucks vs. Raptors
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Canadiens position
Bruins vs. Canadiens
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Oilers position
Blue Jackets vs. Oilers
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
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Yes position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will anyone say "Battery" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Abstract token launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
U.S. Recession in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?
Ends Nov 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 95.9% 1.77 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 85% 1.18 shares
- ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-AliassimeZverev 62% 1.61 shares
- Blue Jackets vs. OilersOilers 61% 1.64 shares
- Eagles vs. PackersEagles 51% 1.96 shares
- Bucks vs. RaptorsRaptors 62% 2.5 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No 80% 1.94 shares
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?Yes 64% 3.2 shares
- Will anyone say "Battery" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes 90% 2.22 shares
- Astronomer Divorce ParlayNo 95.9% 3.13 shares
- Bruins vs. CanadiensCanadiens 66% 2.27 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?Up 49% 2.04 shares