No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $374
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $26
Polymarket Trader
anson95
@ansonwong95
0xf0576d2817a67778dc27ac3e7fec259786c1c1dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $974.77
- Realized PnL
- $116.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.84
- Potential profit
- $255.84
- User PnL
- -$191.21
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $192.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $96.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.85
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $96.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.35
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.72
No position
Will Tesla reach $495 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Will Tesla reach $548 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Tesla reach $525 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Tesla reach $608 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Tesla dip to $330 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla reach $525 in January?No 94% 84.32 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No 97.9% 102.15 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No 98.1% 101.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 98.3% 1.02 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 96% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?Yes 92% 223 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 97% 200 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No 96.8% 200 shares