Polymarket Trader

0xf057cC2673516Ff0B19573a76Ac6d63a0854a931-1768254596006

0xf057cc2673516ff0b19573a76ac6d63a0854a931

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.1
Realized PnL: $794.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.86K
Potential profit: $9.86K
User PnL: -$14.99

No position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $762.69
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.46

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $759.62
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alba Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $447.5
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $245.51
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.42

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.69

No position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.37

Yes position

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.37

Yes position

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.93

No position

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.68

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Kalinina/Yastremska vs Danilina/Krunic

Kalinina/Yastremska 10% 100 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Yes 24.9% 5.26 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

No 2.7% 186.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 15.9% 250 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 7.1% 70.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 14.5% 68.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 96.8% 10.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 66.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 14% 330 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 5% 250 shares