Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $108.03
- Potential payout
- $201.92
- Potential profit
- $93.89
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $59.57
Polymarket Trader
jumanjitropical
0xf057f6d12ed329e5e4bfda9de35d2b9cfda46232
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.03
- Realized PnL
- $51.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.77
- Potential profit
- $189.77
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.99
- Potential profit
- $106.99
- User PnL
- -$6.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.94
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 24% 201.92 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes 52.7% 189.77 shares
- Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes 66.9% 12.48 shares
- Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes 72.6% 137.81 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?Yes 5.9% 17 shares
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes 81% 50 shares