Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$24
Polymarket Trader
erha666
0xf05cff2224b4eb3ae011bb09f2c595b091fbd8fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.69
- Realized PnL
- $630.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $31.28
- Potential payout
- $41.99
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $27.15
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $10.73
- Potential payout
- $27.5
- Potential profit
- $16.78
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $13.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $6.89
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $13.09
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $14.7
- Potential profit
- $7.72
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $10.3
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $9.56
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.28
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.88
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4000 on August 8 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.91
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.82
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?
Ends Aug 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 22 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Down position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 92% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?No 90% 22.77 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?No 52% 15.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?No 65% 9.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 24?No 63% 19.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?Yes 42% 27.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 24?No 63.4% 18.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 23?No 73% 26.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24?No 69% 20.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 24?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 23?No 54% 5.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 24?No 74% 3.7 shares