Polymarket Trader

0xF05fE753E8330dc0FC575fC2fcd0c289e294eD10-1771041364850

0xf05fe753e8330dc0fc575fc2fcd0c289e294ed10

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $344.75
Realized PnL: $542.82
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.71
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $826.13
Potential profit: $797.62
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$10.06

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $330
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $78.09
Potential payout: $395.39
Potential profit: $317.3
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$6.51

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $287.37
Potential profit: $276.88
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.88
Potential profit: $282.88
User PnL: -$31.63

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $18.62
Potential payout: $280.02
Potential profit: $261.4
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $242.38
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $30.6
Potential payout: $244.78
Potential profit: $214.18
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $175.31
Potential profit: $175.05
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.74

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $162.04
Potential profit: $161.55
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$19.51

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $159.09
Potential profit: $157.26
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $17.27
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $138.98
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $127.1
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $9.07
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $121.37
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.7
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $11.84
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $95.3
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $8.84

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.85
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $95.04
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $3.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.09

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.9

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.33

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $45.52

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.33

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.77

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.53

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pig" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.78

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.9

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 3.9% 128.21 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 1% 120 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 1.5% 133.33 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 4.1% 122.68 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

No 7.4% 67.57 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 66.4% 15.06 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 44% 45.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares