Polymarket Trader

hgmkn

0xf064d96dd6cca30e4d6fa36e27138a8921fcc647

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.79
Realized PnL: -$3.68
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.85
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 61.3%
Current value: $51.1
Potential payout: $83.37
Potential profit: $32.26
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $81.4
Potential profit: $64.72
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$18.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.44
Potential profit: $71.44
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.56
Potential profit: $45.56
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$4

Egypt position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.22
Potential profit: $13.22
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.93
Potential profit: $11.93
User PnL: -$4.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 42% 83.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 43% 81.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 34.4% 82.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 47% 87.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 84.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 38.6% 82.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 48% 87.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 84.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 27.6% 60.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 7.2% 52.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 51% 61.62 shares