Polymarket Trader

NebulVortex87

0xf06640c4a150c774e1f6af1a2574f7f452d4f6f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $632.18
Realized PnL: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $191.71
Potential payout: $493.46
Potential profit: $301.75
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $117.71

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $86.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $313.8
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $42.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $71.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $328.2
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: $36.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $83
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $317
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $62.14
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $47.86
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$12.65

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $37.51
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $72.48
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $71.01
Potential profit: $69.49
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $23.52
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $32.48
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.6%
Current value: $17.11
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $38.89
Multiplier: 3.27x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $55.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.96

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $52.98
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.8
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $16.21
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 7.43x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $8.68
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will France win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $5.01
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $7.21
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $9.66
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.9%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 2.95x
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.87

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.41

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.98

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.36

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.18

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?

Yes 36.6% 5.46 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?

Yes 22.1% 20 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will France win the World Cup?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29.2% 20 shares
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 15 shares
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45% 10 shares
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.7% 10 shares
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 10 shares
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 56 shares
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 8.01 shares
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 7 shares