No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $341.74
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $167.13
Polymarket Trader
0xf06d...8416
0xf06da52326d4e255b69786e085b06031afe28416
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $707.88
- Realized PnL
- $59.26
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.2%
- Current value
- $320.57
- Potential payout
- $710
- Potential profit
- $389.44
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- $231.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $45.57
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $52.43
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $6.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.68
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.6
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.11
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.05
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Laura Samson position
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samson
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Xinyu Wang position
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samson
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.88
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.42
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 52% 400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 17.97 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 6.5% 170 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 13% 7.88 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 59% 105 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 88% 14.91 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?No 4.5% 119.79 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?No 74% 14 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes 92% 75 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 21% 240 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 13% 78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 52% 85 shares