Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $186.84
- Potential payout
- $216
- Potential profit
- $29.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.24
Polymarket Trader
Elaini
@Iansmit35253176
0xf0721723082625d4f568cff91ba7a81c11b99d3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.84
- Realized PnL
- $109
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.18
- Potential profit
- $90.18
- User PnL
- -$15.33
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.56
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.64
- Potential profit
- $18.64
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.43
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 216 shares
- Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99% 66.93 shares
- Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.6% 66.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 86% 17.44 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 17% 90.18 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 40% 55 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 98.6% 20.86 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 8% 24.44 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes 60% 24.68 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No 95% 26.97 shares
- Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?No 95.6% 26.8 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 71.88 shares