Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xF07851a032BdF1595c0521dd438FC774696448d5-1767554438466
0xf07851a032bdf1595c0521dd438fc774696448d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $189.13
- Realized PnL
- -$527.41
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $100.8
- Potential payout
- $130.91
- Potential profit
- $30.11
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $82.8
- Potential payout
- $119.16
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $32.8
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $57.81
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.31
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.4
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.06
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.34
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$12.63
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.97
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$43.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$47.09
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$74.71
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$337.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 20% 264.21 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 5.6% 801.82 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 76.4% 130.91 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No 42% 119.16 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 37.8% 264.21 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.7% 746.27 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 10% 100 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 3.1% 2,006.17 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 3% 166.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 120.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 72% 27.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 26% 38.51 shares