Polymarket Trader

bga711

0xf079099525e7e6dc7fb6e575049b4d3a6b0b874d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.73K
Realized PnL: $2.23K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $4.19K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.48K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $564.72
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $67.23

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $445.88
Potential payout: $825.7
Potential profit: $379.82
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$8.77

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $776.32
Potential profit: $776.32
User PnL: -$201

Yes position

Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.92
Potential profit: $608.92
User PnL: -$34.98

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572.63
Potential profit: $572.63
User PnL: -$200.42

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.11
Potential profit: $270.11
User PnL: -$99.94

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?

Ends May 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.85
Potential profit: $171.85
User PnL: -$22.34

No position

WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.06
Potential profit: $144.06
User PnL: -$66.21

No position

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.77
Potential profit: $142.77
User PnL: -$49.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.35
Potential profit: $135.35
User PnL: -$69.03

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $131.67
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $721.59

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.88

Yes position

Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.3

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1 PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.88

Yes position

Will Berachain's FDV be $3-5b 1 day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11 AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.45

Yes position

Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $71.82

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.6

Yes position

Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.11

No position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.04

No position

Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.18

No position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.16

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.16

Yes position

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $30.49

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.05

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Yes position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Tether insolvent in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Solana ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 97% 63.21 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,666.66 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 90.9 shares
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 94% 57 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 64% 759.01 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 64% 221.93 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 69% 25 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 68% 193 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 68% 293 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 67% 36 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 67% 15 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 67% 15 shares