Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.16
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Polymarket Trader
ElBet4
0xf07c42098cce8923efd08d34665d35f122d56dea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.12
- Realized PnL
- $40.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Over position
Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.8%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.76x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Over position
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Under position
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Over position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Under position
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Philadelphia Phillies position
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Y
Yes position
Norway leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Over position
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Washington Nationals position
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Over position
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Miami Marlins position
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Over position
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?Yes 44.5% 2.25 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Over 56% 17.86 shares
- Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5Over 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Panama vs. England: O/U 6.5Over 6.6% 15.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 68% 1.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 62% 1.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 74% 8.62 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 58% 8.62 shares