Polymarket Trader

Ketsu4

0xf07c5bbefbc121c56c39d8898d2ad780c986a638

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $375
Realized PnL: $8.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$340

No position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$780

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$306

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $56.6
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $50.85
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$14.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.71
Potential profit: $44.71
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.19
Potential profit: $29.19
User PnL: -$13.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.41

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.25

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $847.5

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $721.09

Yes position

Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.13

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.98

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $440.99

Yes position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.9

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.26

No position

Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.85

No position

Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.53

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Macon, GA rally?

Ends Nov 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "cognitively impaired" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204

No position

Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

No position

Will Trump say "fake news" 5 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.91

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.91

No position

Will Trump say "god" 5 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Frack" of "Fracking" 8 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151

Yes position

Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" during Macon, GA rally?

Ends Nov 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Trump say "Voter ID" during Macon, GA rally?

Ends Nov 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Down 50% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Up 51% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 37% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 50% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Up 78% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Up 49% 90 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 45% 2.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down 56% 35.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 58% 34.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Down 43% 46.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Down 90% 3.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 65% 23.08 shares