Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $29
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $171.01
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$19
Polymarket Trader
0xF08817996Fe1dd66C9769ec96C844cD50293c8d3-1780327191241
0xf08817996fe1dd66c9769ec96c844cd50293c8d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29
- Realized PnL
- $27.28
- Win rate
- 26.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.57
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $109.46
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $24.48
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$11.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14
Y
Yes position
Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$14.63
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.92
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.78
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.19
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$62.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 67% 0.36 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 45% 0.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 45% 0.79 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.5% 88.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 0.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 31% 0.56 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 69% 46.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 0.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 0.77 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 78% 0.72 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 58% 0.42 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11?Yes 5.1% 0.68 shares