Polymarket Trader

Tourte-chaude

@JwUtah5

0xf08c827f8bccc70f51686be5538611fa696a91e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.52K
Realized PnL: $3.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $216.38
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $83.37

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $541.98
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $350.64

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $159.47
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $869.35
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$21.36

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $51.74
Potential payout: $995
Potential profit: $943.26
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $18.9

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $250.83
Potential payout: $727.24
Potential profit: $476.42
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $98.55

No position

Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $168.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $102

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $163.95
Potential profit: $163.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$32.26

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $129.27
Potential payout: $140.43
Potential profit: $11.16
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $10.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $71.41
Potential profit: $71.3
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$17.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.38

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.77

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.66

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.8

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.83

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.89

Elina Svitolina position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.84

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.55

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.93

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.35

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.48

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.4

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.4

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.86

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.2

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.17

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.34

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.92

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 17% 30 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Yes 98% 101.01 shares
Norway to score first vs. Iraq?

Yes 95% 101.01 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Yes 40% 5 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Yes 41% 5 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 18% 100 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 16?

Yes 99.9% 8.03 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 18% 29.99 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 17% 24.99 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 16% 10.1 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 16% 10.1 shares
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 40 shares