Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $85.96
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$14.04
Polymarket Trader
advegrg
0xf0939e66f46c2efe2d3a5d0a564d4e5a48e6721f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.52
- Realized PnL
- $19.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.82
- Potential payout
- $31.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.82
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $24.62
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No 85.3% 24.62 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 89% 112.36 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 88% 49.88 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 72% 15.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 56.18 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.2% 23.83 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 98.3% 44.76 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 93.8% 44.76 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 80.2% 49.88 shares
- Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 99.4% 25.72 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.9% 57.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.1% 57.23 shares