Polymarket Trader

SunMoonStars

0xf093b87c5441977c272c5755cc2e6eeda1b72609

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.59
Realized PnL: $111.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $88
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.25
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $27.74
Potential payout: $44.75
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $7.74

90k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.15
Potential profit: $26.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.51
Potential payout: $16.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $12.46
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $2.46
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $13.4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.22
Potential payout: $13.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $10.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.71
Potential profit: $8.71
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.33
Potential profit: $7.33
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $4.96
User PnL: -$0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.73
Potential profit: $4.73
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4
Potential profit: $4.4
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $4.26
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $4.11
User PnL: -$0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $2.97
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $22.43

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

No position

Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 37.3% 13.4 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 37.8% 13.22 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Yes 66% 49.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Up 47% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Up 47% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 8% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 24% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Up 41% 2.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 37% 2.7 shares