4epBb

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.16
Potential payout: $18.17
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $12.81
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $6.96
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.16
Potential profit: $6.16
User PnL: -$2.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $5.24
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $3.95
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $2.9
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $2.6
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET