No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $10.54
- Potential payout
- $87.84
- Potential profit
- $77.3
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$22.59
Polymarket Trader
0xf0cd...c997
0xf0cdc2629cce5b81a41b351d7341369a7a2cc997
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $105.92
- Realized PnL
- $38.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $30.32
- Potential payout
- $80.87
- Potential profit
- $50.54
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $79.65
- Potential profit
- $75.43
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$14.1
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $23.89
- Potential payout
- $30.46
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $24.26
- Potential payout
- $29.64
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $12.68
- Potential payout
- $13.71
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.36
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No 35.7% 80.87 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.3% 29.64 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87.4% 30.46 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 35.5% 32.64 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 13.7 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 39% 55.21 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 72.6% 29.96 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.9% 52.9 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 58% 53.24 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 96.9% 32.61 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81.7% 52.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 98.8% 44.14 shares