Yes position
Will "Brian Ronan" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.73K
- Potential profit
- $611.73K
- User PnL
- -$50.98K
Polymarket Trader
yen4u
0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.8K
- Realized PnL
- $386.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Walter Trarbach" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.73K
- Potential profit
- $611.73K
- User PnL
- -$50.98K
Yes position
Will "Adam Fisher" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.73K
- Potential profit
- $611.73K
- User PnL
- -$50.98K
Yes position
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $610.03K
- Potential profit
- $610.03K
- User PnL
- -$305.02K
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.4K
- Potential profit
- $88.4K
- User PnL
- -$88.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $43.52K
- Potential payout
- $43.58K
- Potential profit
- $65.37
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $43.38K
- Potential profit
- $39.8K
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $810.07
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.07K
- Potential profit
- $26.07K
- User PnL
- -$11.53K
Yes position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.19K
- Potential profit
- $14.19K
- User PnL
- -$2.72K
Yes position
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.95K
- Potential profit
- $11.95K
- User PnL
- -$579.79
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $9.93K
- Potential payout
- $11.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$169.45
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.59K
- Potential profit
- $9.59K
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $8.49K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $296.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $8.24K
- User PnL
- -$5.42K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $7.1K
- User PnL
- -$158
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.2K
- User PnL
- -$695.33
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.36K
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $37.75
- User PnL
- $223.91
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$253.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.04K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.05K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25K
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.42K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Trump say "Where is" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 20.9% 65.64 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 20.5% 129.87 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 29% 63.85 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 28.5% 20.8 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 27% 20.07 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 38.5% 53.55 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 32.6% 37.69 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 58.8% 63.5 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 71% 813 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 72.2% 46.08 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 48.6% 35.41 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 42.3% 344.45 shares