Polymarket Trader

crayman

0xf0d8a6f2185c759d77ca71a533a578deff8c82a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.23
Realized PnL: $32.87
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $8.87
Potential payout: $126.72
Potential profit: $117.85
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$10.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $21.35
Potential payout: $74.93
Potential profit: $53.58
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $27.93
Potential payout: $43.98
Potential profit: $16.05
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $17.78
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.08

Grind Back position

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.52
Potential profit: $4.52
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Passion UA position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 27?

Yes 15.5% 126.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 27?

Yes 26.2% 74.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Yes 44.6% 43.98 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 25?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 18.87 shares
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner

Grind Back 16% 6.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares