No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $215.33
- Potential payout
- $222.45
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.33
Polymarket Trader
Adbrick
0xf0e394d63d56162b5d1bb2ee92b9b0e2705de236
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $402.59
- Realized PnL
- $209.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $87.23
- Potential payout
- $96.39
- Potential profit
- $9.16
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $38.03
- Potential payout
- $43.72
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $34.78
- Potential payout
- $34.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.78
Yes position
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.2
- Potential profit
- $23.2
- User PnL
- -$14.84
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $21.69
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $5.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.32
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.26
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.97
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.14
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?No 90% 5.54 shares
- Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?Yes 52.7% 9.35 shares
- Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?Yes 70.2% 7.06 shares
- Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?Yes 73% 6.79 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes 89.6% 11.16 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 94.5% 116.4 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 96.39 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 95% 10.53 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No 98.6% 10.46 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No 98.9% 10.75 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 91% 21.98 shares