Polymarket Trader

0xf0ee2cFAEC57652bA202E476818eb228815C7d14-1722264740766

0xf0ee2cfaec57652ba202e476818eb228815c7d14

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.54K
Realized PnL: $2.39K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $916.67
Potential payout: $55.56K
Potential profit: $54.64K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$83.28

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $9.34K
Potential profit: $7.19K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $148.79

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $948.28
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$51.72

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $575
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$1.3K

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $958.3
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $345.51
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$41.7

No position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $96.3
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $107.41

No position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $51.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $85.23

No position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $891.3
Potential payout: $984.87
Potential profit: $93.56
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $91.3

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $127.18
Potential payout: $877.08
Potential profit: $749.9
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$142.82

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $507.69
Potential payout: $586.93
Potential profit: $79.24
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $17.69

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $538.35
Potential payout: $568.18
Potential profit: $29.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $38.35

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $385.15
Potential payout: $461.26
Potential profit: $76.11
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$13.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $721.79

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.9%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $458.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $455.95

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.65

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.4

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $84.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.16

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $32.75

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 21.4% 9,342.54 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 1,204.81 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.6% 1,637.55 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 80% 2,500 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 75.6% 1,928.79 shares
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 76.7% 1,303.81 shares
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.2% 984.87 shares
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.1% 1,203.7 shares
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88% 1,136.36 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 1,428.57 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Yes 88.2% 2,518.51 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 3,448.28 shares