Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99K
- Potential profit
- $5.99K
- User PnL
- -$323.99
Polymarket Trader
kp12345
0xf0f7bbfceff5f2bd4283d88143b40a97e0598c0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.23K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.12K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$533.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $860.35
- Potential profit
- $860.35
- User PnL
- -$53.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.24
- Potential profit
- $303.24
- User PnL
- -$75.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.55
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.61
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $472.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$117.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.6% 1,594.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 53% 1,594.49 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No 97.6% 1,587.74 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No 31.5% 1,587.74 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 58.4% 1,712.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.5% 2,261.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.4% 3,732.12 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 96.2% 1,162.79 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 43% 1,162.79 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes 37.8% 794.01 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes 1.7% 4,123.53 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes 5% 3,000 shares