Polymarket Trader

0xF0Fd9cD1358205D624e9b8b1135adD503E6f2404-1782594290268

0xf0fd9cd1358205d624e9b8b1135add503e6f2404

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.31
Realized PnL: $277.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.9
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$6.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$19.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$18.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$20.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$17.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$19.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $12.16
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $10.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Yes 1% 1,100 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 51% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Up 58% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 13% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 54% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Down 74% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Down 68% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Down 71% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Down 63% 14.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Up 79% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Up 67% 30 shares