Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Willowmer
0xf0fe1aad92a459d14899b221331703cd29749f56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.06
- Realized PnL
- $238.1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.51
- Potential profit
- $91.51
- User PnL
- -$33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $23.06
- Potential payout
- $23.28
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $1.06
Detroit Tigers position
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.73
- Potential profit
- $19.73
- User PnL
- -$10.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 94.5% 23.28 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 96.8% 20.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 97.6% 205.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 17% 205.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 45% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp 2% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 12% 83.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 45% 51.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 36.1% 91.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown 47% 53.19 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 76.5% 131.25 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 79% 131.25 shares