Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $475.2
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$265.17
Polymarket Trader
0xf105...10f1
0xf105bf3d358fc40a702d56e05f95fd62c35510f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $534.1
- Realized PnL
- -$575.28
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.88
- Potential profit
- $285.88
- User PnL
- -$111.68
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $26.12
- Potential payout
- $191.35
- Potential profit
- $165.23
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $32.78
- Potential payout
- $177.68
- Potential profit
- $144.9
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $2.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.9
- Potential profit
- $97.9
- User PnL
- -$46.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$523.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$596.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp 99% 347.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp 26.8% 347.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown 99% 307.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown 72.8% 307.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETDown 39.1% 285.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 99% 119 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETDown 47.1% 97.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 42.3% 119 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp 32% 106.81 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 1,343.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 1% 55,440.87 shares