Polymarket Trader

J.Ch.

0xf1074a76b18e272c8a8ab4fece7d8ef536b1b9ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $501.33
Realized PnL: $3.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $190.86
Potential payout: $9.79K
Potential profit: $9.6K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$17.78

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $56.1
Potential payout: $8.63K
Potential profit: $8.57K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $64.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $39.49
Potential payout: $92.92
Potential profit: $53.43
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.05
Potential profit: $89.05
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $15.51
Potential payout: $86.14
Potential profit: $70.64
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $81.95
Potential payout: $81.99
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $48.57

Yes position

Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.73
Potential profit: $71.73
User PnL: -$18.61

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $35.08
Potential payout: $70.15
Potential profit: $35.08
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.34
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$17.34

Yes position

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $9.81
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $728.15

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $400.68

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.74

Kings position

Kings vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236

No position

Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.27

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.8

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.32

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.19

No position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.28

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.82

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $134.17

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.9

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.88

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.47

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.34

No position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.54

No position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.27

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.35

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.78

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.81

Yes position

Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.54

No position

Zohran Mamdani Parlay

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Yes 39% 11.99 shares
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Yes 13% 39.04 shares
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Yes 14% 39.04 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Yes 2% 200 shares
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Yes 41% 70 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Yes 2.4% 600 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44% 10 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44% 15 shares
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes 18% 5 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 44% 20 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Yes 2.4% 250 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Yes 20% 25 shares