Polymarket Trader

0xF10e44BB6F1a73F03683Ca5Cf08e3D57e963E4C3-1760029454609

0xf10e44bb6f1a73f03683ca5cf08e3d57e963e4c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.94
Realized PnL: $198.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $58.85
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $171.92
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $185.72
Potential profit: $185.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 26% 230.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 10.8% 185.72 shares
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?

Yes 10% 30 shares
Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 51% 5.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 17.5% 26.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Yes 57% 19.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Yes 35% 63.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Yes 15% 61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Yes 61% 18.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 94% 9.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 54% 9.26 shares