Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.78K
- Potential profit
- $10.78K
- User PnL
- -$25.46
Polymarket Trader
tms1337
0xf1148adf4d6729a1b82722eec8e4dc2a7b97e4ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$2
Under position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.45
- Potential profit
- $476.45
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $391
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $364.25
- Potential profit
- $364.07
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $15.66
- Potential payout
- $322.9
- Potential profit
- $307.24
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$19.34
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $269.12
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.22
- Potential profit
- $219.22
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.91
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $175.91
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$14.09
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $144.62
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.77
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.14
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $130.43
- Potential profit
- $129.91
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.48
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.1
- Potential profit
- $121.1
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.43
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.82
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.94
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.58
Yes position
US bank failure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.71
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.56
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.11
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $24.76
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.23
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $16.75
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.9% 35.62 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99.3% 31.61 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 84.2% 35.63 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 2,269.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 30% 27.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 18% 272.73 shares
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks 99.9% 66.66 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 5% 400 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 380.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 1,517.04 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 372.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 18% 27.78 shares