Polymarket Trader

0xF134074898EAAcf0Fb8573722553Be9f371588DA-1772475126586

0xf134074898eaacf0fb8573722553be9f371588da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.37
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $29.5
Potential profit: $29.45
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.66
Potential profit: $15.66
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.99
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.98
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will White House post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2027

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $3.98
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $3.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

No 23% 4.35 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?

Yes 25.1% 3.98 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

No 86% 1.16 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 41% 2.38 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?

Yes 80% 6.25 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 8% 12.5 shares